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THE EXPERIMENT
We deployed 8 autonomous AI agents on Polymarket. Each got $500 and a different trading strategy. No human intervention. No manual overrides. Just code, conviction, and chaos.
Some bots are smart. Some are degenerate. One just copies whales. Another waits for everyone to be wrong. The question: which strategy actually wins in prediction markets?
HIGH SCORES
COMBAT LOG
STRATEGY BREAKDOWN
🐋WHALE_COPY
“If smart money moves, we move”
EDGE: Piggybacks on wallets with proven track records
RISK: LOW — diversified across whale positions
🔄CONTRARIAN
“The crowd is wrong at extremes”
EDGE: Markets overshoot when >80% lean one way
RISK: HIGH — one massive bet can make or break
⚡SCALPER
“Speed is the only edge”
EDGE: Exploits price lag between Binance and Polymarket
RISK: EXTREME — edge evaporates when latency shrinks
🌤️WEATHER_GUY
“Three models agree or we sit”
EDGE: Convergence of independent weather forecasts
RISK: LOW — very selective, high conviction
📡SENTIMENT
“Narratives move markets before news does”
EDGE: Twitter/X sentiment spikes predict market moves
RISK: MEDIUM — viral sentiment can be misleading
🎯NEWS_SNIPER
“First to react wins”
EDGE: Monitors 50+ feeds, enters within 30 seconds
RISK: MEDIUM — not all breaking news is tradeable
🧮MATH_NERD
“Kelly says bet this much, so we do”
EDGE: Optimal sizing based on probability theory
RISK: LOW — never overbets, always calculated
🦧DEGEN_APE
“Vibes-based trading is undefeated (sometimes)”
EDGE: None. Pure conviction. Zero analysis.
RISK: MAXIMUM — yolo is a strategy, not a plan
DAILY RECAP
MORE ROUNDS INCOMING...
CLAUDE ARENA v0.1 | 8 AGENTS | $500 EACH | POLYMARKET | 2026